Steve Nison’s Highlights: Breakouts

May 19, 2012

In this video, Steve Nison talks about how to identify and respond to breakouts with candlesticks. In this video he talks about Momentum trading — going in the direction of the break out. We know that the candlesticks signals are great for reversals telling us the trend and potentially when it is going to turn. We could use the idea of candlesticks signals could be used as support or resistance, with that in mind he explains how to use candlesticks for momentum trading.

Forex Trading Indicators — Moving Averages

May 17, 2012

Probably one of the most frequently used indicators in technical analysis is the simple moving average. The concept of a moving average shows that the average value of a pair’s closing price over a certain amount of time. As seen in the daily chart, the 100 Moving Average shows the average price of the last 100 days. This is significant because it can be used to spot momentum, trends and potential support and resistance. There are different ways to use the moving average. As seen in the daily chart a second moving average with value 25 is used to identify quicker momentum shifts. There are different moving averages that you can use. These are the simple moving averages. The other commonly used moving average is the exponential average.

Weekly Gold and Forex Trading News — May 17th 2012

May 17, 2012

This is a video from Martin Smith with the daily outlook from UFXMarkets. Wall street declines all around with the NASDAQ falling by 1.00%, DOW by 0.43% and S&P by 0.67%. The US Dollar however gained against the most of the majors as talks to form a Governement in Greece failed. In commodities, Gold fell by 0.18% closing at $1,540 an ounce. Crude also fell by 0.54% to close at $92.77 a barell, the lowest in 5 months. Trading below resistance of 1.2780 is keeping the momentum of EUR/USD negative with the pair positively testing the 1.2625 again. The RSI points to trend remaining bearish. Overall the pair traded with the low of 1.2680 and high of 1.2758. GBP/USD pair is maintaining resistance at 1.6060 pointing to bearish trend eventhough it might test the 1.5876 again. If the pair breaks down below this it may even reach 1.58 level. The AUD/USD pair will also continue its bearish trend if it maintains resistance at 0.9980 level. Breaking this level to cause it to test the support level at 0.9865.

Forex Trading Indicators — Parabolic SAR

May 15, 2012

Parabolic SAR is an indicator used by traders to find the direction of the pair’s most recent and significant momentum and more importantly larger than usual chances of reversing. The system itself is a stop and reversal system. It was developed by J. Welles Wilder. The dots above shows resistance and we will be selling and dots below is support and we will be buying. Its an indicator that gets chopped up in sideways market, so it definitely needs to trend and hence it is a trend following indicator.

EURUSD Daily Forecast: May 15

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EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.2814 and closed at 1.2829. The bias remains bearish in nearest term testing 1.2800 – 1.2750/33 region before testing 1.2625 area as a part of the bearish scenario since broke below the descending triangle. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.2880 – 1.2905 area. A clear break above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as stays below 1.3000 my overall intraday bias remains to the downside.

Daily Forecast for Crosses: May 15

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EURJPY Forecast
The EURJPY continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 102.21 and closed at 102.46. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another clear break below 102.20 testing 101.00 – 101.50 support area. Immediate resistance is seen around 102.75. A clear break above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 103.50 but as long as stays below 104.44 my overall intraday bias remains to the downside and I still prefer to sell on rallies.

GBPJPY  Forecast
The GBPJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday made a Doji on daily chart. There are no changes in my technical outlook. The bias remains neutral in nearest term and price is still consolidating inside the triangle formation in medium term. Potential daily range remains between 127.80 – 129.37. I will stand aside for now.

AUDUSD Forecast
The AUDUSD continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 0.9954 and hit 0.9943 earlier today. There are no changes in my technical outlook. Although the bearish momentum was not as strong as I had expected, nearest term bias remains to the downside still testing 0.9910 region. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.0020/43 area. A clear break above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term but as long as stays below 1.0200 I still prefer to sell on rallies.

GBPUSD Daily Forecast: May 15

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GBPUSD  Forecast
The GBPUSD was indecisive yesterday. There are no changes in my technical outlook. The bias remains bearish in nearest term but note that the major bullish scenario should remain intact and I still prefer to buy around 1.6000 – 1.6050 with tight stop loss below 1.6000. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.6122 (yesterday’s high). A clear break and daily close above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term. Price is still in a bearish correction phase since fell from 1.6300 and need a clear break and daily close at least back above 1.6200 to end the current bearish correction phase.

USDJPY Daily Forecast: May 15

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USDJPY Forecast
The USDJPY had another insignificant movement yesterday. There are no changes in my technical outlook and volatility remains low. 79.52/35 region remains a good place to buy with stop loss below 79.35. Immediate resistance remains around 80.23. A clear break and daily close above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 81.00 – 81.80.

USDCHF Daily Forecast: May 15

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USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF had a significant movement yesterday, broke and closed above 0.9320 resistance area. This fact leads price to a new bullish phase after consolidation testing 0.9400 – 0.9450 area. Immediate support is seen around 0.9300 – 0.9320. A clear break back below that area would lead price to neutral zone in nearest term as direction would become unclear.

EURUSD Daily Forecast: May 14

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EURUSD Forecast
The EURUSD attempted to push higher last week, topped at 1.3064 but whipsawed to the downside, closed at 1.2914 and hit 1.2878 earlier today. The bias remains bearish in nearest term especially if price able to make another clear break and daily close below 1.2880 testing 1.2800 – 1.2750 region before testing 1.2625 as a part of the major bearish scenario after broke below the descending triangle. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.2950. A clear break above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.3000 region. The falling wedge bullish pullback scenario should remain intact especially if price able to break above 1.2950 but any upside momentum now should be seen as a normal corrective movement and overall I remain bearish.